The CFO of DC stated that the District was able to financially weather two mild recessions in early April. The mayors shutdown with council’s response increases spending while the revenues are drastically reduced, and i hypothesize that surplus funds will be completely expended by June and cuts to the mayor’s special-interest offices will need to be made.
I conducted some analysis on COVID-19 with the data provided by the district, here is the cases count by ward through May 31st:
Here are some observations:
- Ward 3 (the gray line) was reported to have 226 cases on April 19th, then 223 on the 20th, and then 215 on the 21st, resulting in -3 and -8 cases on the 20th and 21st. How did this happen? Or, if the data was changed, why wasn’t it fixed in the prior days? Other wards show similar phenomena.
- Ward 8 recorded 69 cases on 4/20, as seen with the red spike.
- No data on age or other medical condition/complications were made available.
- No data on the rate of asymptomatic subjects has been released. A report found that up to 50% of positive cases are asymptomatic.
- An average of 241 ventilators and 94 ICU beds were available through the period of April 23rd.
Since their hasn’t been a scarcity of critical hospital resources, I recommend easing the stay-at home order and allow businesses to operate, reminding the people to take their own precautions. I’m sure District Taco can figure out a way to create burrito bowls and keep their employees and customers protected at the same time.
Unfortunately, the current DC council members nor many candidates for council have advocated for these position. I imagine DC will be the last 25% of states/places that open. Hardly ‘progressive’.
(I posted the last paragraph on April 23rd. NAILED IT!)